STATS Game Notes: Liverpool vs Manchester City

Liverpool host Manchester City in their final game of 2016 and the first half of the Premier League season, with both sides aiming to keep pace with league leaders Chelsea. This will be the first meeting between Jurgen Klopp and Pep Guardiola in the Premier League, but the pair have met eight times in Germany – with Guardiola winning four times to Klopp’s three, although Klopp’s Borussia Dortmund side did win on penalties in the lone draw between the managers.

Game Notes

This contest has traditionally favoured Liverpool in the Premier League era as the Reds have won 17 of the 38 meetings between the sides, with City winning seven times – and just once at Anfield. The following is a condensed head-to-head version of STATS’ pre-match Game Notes ahead of Liverpool vs Manchester City.

  • Liverpool have won the last three league meetings with Manchester City, matching their longest ever winning run against City in the Premier League. Their only other 3-match winning streak over City came with three 1-0 victories from November 2005 to November 2006.
  • Liverpool’s 3-0 home win against City last season was their first clean sheet against Manchester City since a 3-0 win in April 2011. They had allowed a goal in nine consecutive contests between those clean sheets.
  • Liverpool have not kept back-to-back clean sheets against City in the league since keeping six in a row from November 2005 to May 2008.
  • Manchester City have won just 4 of their last 22 league games against Liverpool dating back to 2005. All four of those wins came in Manchester.
  • The Reds have won four of their last five league meetings with Manchester City. They had won just one of their previous ten, drawing six times and losing three.
  • Manchester City have won just once in their 19 Premier League trips to Anfield, a 2-1 win in May 2003. Nicolas Anelka scored twice, including a 94th-minute winner, after Milan Baros opened the scoring just before the hour mark.
  • The Reds have scored in all 19 of their home league matches against Manchester City.
  • Liverpool have won three straight home league matches against Manchester City, outscoring them 8-3 in those games. It’s their longest home league winning streak against City since winning five consecutive games from 2004 to 2008.
  • Manchester City had drawn in four of their five league visits to Anfield from February 2009 to August 2012 before losing their last three games.
  • Eight of Liverpool’s last ten home league wins against City dating back to 2000 have come by a one-goal margin. The exceptions were 3-0 wins in March 2016 and April 2011.

Expected Goals

The contest features the top two scoring sides in the Premier League as well as two of the top three in expected goals, and only Chelsea have allowed fewer expected goals than both sides. Both clubs fully deserve to be in the title hunt, but a draw is likely to see both clubs fall further behind the Blues as Antonio Conte’s side hosts Stoke earlier in the day.

Playing Styles – find out more here

Liverpool have tended to play a quick, attacking style at home this season, ranking in the top three in the Premier League for build up (+85%), sustained threat (+54%) and fast tempo (+113+), operating the high press a little less often at home (+9%) as they have done on the road (+28% – second in the division). The result has been 25 goals in eight home games (3.13 per match), conceding just seven goals – as teams have averaged 0.68 expected goals per match against Liverpool at Anfield (as opposed to 1.09 expected goals against per match away from home).

Manchester City (62.2%) and Liverpool (59.5%) have the highest averages for possession in the division, as Guardiola’s side has consistently controlled possession at home (62.7%) and away (61.8%), but their style of play has been slightly different to do so. City lead the Premier League in maintenance overall (+30%), but this mainly due to performances on the road (+45%) than at home (+15%), while they have been well above average in build up (98%) and sustained threat (+61%) areas of the field as well as playing at a faster tempo (+70%) compared to when playing away, although City are still above the league average for away teams in these areas, which can be seen in the below graphic.

man-city-ps

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Photo By: AP Photo/Jon Super