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An X-Info Analysis of select 2013 NFL Draft Prospects

Northbrook, IL – April 22, 2013 - STATS’ proprietary X-Info™ reveals the most detailed events that occur in a game for unrivaled prospect analysis. X-Info includes unique data points such as YAC, Burned Defenders and Broken Tackles. In 2012, STATS charted X-Info for the top six collegiate conferences as well as Boise State and Notre Dame.

According to STATS … Texas A&M tackle Luke Joeckel, who most prognosticators consider a candidate for the top overall pick in the draft, posted impressive pass blocking numbers. STATS’ X-Info charters reveal that Joeckel surrendered just two QB sacks and three knockdowns, though he did allow 13 pressures and 10 hurries. The output of Oklahoma Sooners tackle Lane Johnson was similar. Johnson was responsible for two sacks, eight knockdowns, six hurries and 14 pressures.

While the running back position may be void of a blue-chip prospect, the position is deep with players who flash big-play capabilities:

Notable 2013 NFL Draft Running Backs: Big Play Performance, 2012

Player
Off Snaps
Explosive Rushing Plays
YAC Avg.
TD%
Le'Veon Bell, Michigan State
835
22
2.4
3.1%
Stepfan Taylor, Stanford
759
14
2.2
4.0%
Joseph Randle, Oklahoma State
717
14
2.6
5.1%
Johnathan Franklin, UCLA
697
27
2.7
4.6%
Kenjon Barner, Oregon
679
27
1.9
7.6%
Montee Ball, Wisconsin
665
26
2.5
6.2%
Andre Ellington, Clemson
602
13
2.6
3.8%
Mike Gillislee, Florida
553
15
1.8
4.1%
Giovani Bernard, North Carolina
523
18
3.2
6.5%
Eddie Lacy, Alabama
421
26
2.9
8.3%

Explosive plays: rush plays gaining 15+ yards
YAC avg.: (yards after contact) / (carries)
TD %: (rushing TDs) / (carries)

The X-Info stats of UCLA punter Jeff Locke are impressive. Locke’s average hang-time was 4.4 seconds last season. And he was consistent, with a hang-time standard deviation of just 0.3. By comparison, LSU’s Brad Wing averaged 4.1 seconds of hang-time with a standard deviation of 0.6. Locke also excelled at punt percentage inside the 10 yard line (23.4%) and Percentage of Field Covered (67.4%). Percentage of Field Covered is calculated by dividing net punting yards by the max yards available without kicking a touchback.

STATS’ X-Info tells us that Florida State’s E.J. Manuel and Syracuse’s Ryan Nassib dropped back to pass with the purpose of pushing the ball down the field. Manuel averaged 4.5 air yards per attempt, while Nassib averaged 4.1 per throw. The player considered by many evaluators to be the draft’s top QB prospect, Geno Smith of West Virginia, averaged 3.4 air yards per attempt.

X-Info Spotlight Comparison: Bjoern Werner vs. Dion Jordan

Bjoern Werner and Dion Jordan are considered the two premier pass rushers in the 2013 NFL Draft.

Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
Snaps: 733
Tackles for Loss: 6
Sacks: 13
Non-Sack Pressures: 14
Hurries: 11
Knockdowns: 20
Stuffs: 6.5
Impact Tackles: 9

Dion Jordan, LB, Oregon
Snaps: 418
Tackles for Loss: 7
Sacks: 5
Non-Sack Pressures: 11
Hurries: 6
Knockdowns: 11
Stuffs: 5.5
Impact Tackles: 7

By the Numbers …

8.7 – The average yards after catch for West Virginia’s Tavon Austin. Teammate Stedman Bailey averaged 6.2 yards after catch. However, Bailey bested Austin in explosive plays (plays of 25 or more yards) 20 to 13.

11.83 –The incredible Successful Snap % Difference of Rutgers LB Khaseem Greene. This metric is determined by looking at a team’s success % on snaps when a player is in the game minus the team’s success % on snaps when that player is not in the game. Greene also recorded 7 tackles for loss, 13 non-sack pressures, 18 QB knockdowns and an amazing 27 impact tackles.

17 –The number of impact tackles by Ohio State’s Johnathan Hankins which is tied for the most among Defensive Linemen, along with Jordan Hill of Penn State and Garrison Smith of Georgia. Impact tackles are defined as those made on offensive plays that result in gains of 1 or 2 yards and the play does not result in either a first down or touchdown -- a quantitative measure for “downhill tacklers.” Hankins also had 8 non-sack pressures, 3 hurries and 6 QB knockdowns last season.

68.8 – The adjusted completion percentage of Duke’s Sean Renfree, which is highest among QB draft prospects. Adjusted completed passes are those that advance past the original line of scrimmage and are not marked as screens. QB throw-aways and drops are also excluded from this stat.    

1,018 – The amazingly high number of snaps played by Baylor wideout Terrance Williams last season. Williams played 94.7% of the Bears’ offensive snaps.

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Contact:
Nick Stamm
STATS LLC
847-583-2110
stamm@stats.com

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